The 10th of February 2025 promises to be a day of Proxy Wars at the Supreme Court of Nigeria in Abuja. On that day, a panel of five Justices will take arguments on seven appeals connected with the synthetic political crisis in Rivers State.

The issues in dispute include the validity of last October’s local government elections in the state, the fate of a faction in the Rivers State House of Assembly which claims to have switched affiliation from the Peoples’ Democratic Party (PDP), on whose platform the members were elected, to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC); the legality of the state’s 2025 budget passed by the rump of the same House of Assembly, and the effort to importune judges into denying Rivers State access to its share of the Federation Account.

The effort to frame these as legal issues is transparently valiant. Despite the shameful conversion of judges into politicians in the Rivers State crisis – or indeed, because of precisely that fact – the imminence of Rivers State Proxy Wars Day at the Supreme Court is evidence of what has gone wrong with Nigeria’s judicial system and why fixing it is essential for the health of Nigeria’s attempt at government with electoral legitimacy.

This is not the first time that legal disputes about power and how to share the spoils from it have ended up at the highest court in the land. That tendency in Nigeria is over a century old and arguably, goes back to the 1921 judgment of the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council in the case of Amodu Tijani, over the effort by the colonial authorities to split Herbert Heelas Macaulay from his support for Eshugbayi Eleko, the Oba of Lagos.

For the hearing of the cases before the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council in 1920, Herbert Macaulay travelled to London with the Oba’s Staff of Office in support of Amodu Tijani and the Idejo Chiefs of Lagos. From London, he issued a statement claiming that the Eleko was the King of over 17 million Nigerians and in possession of a territory, more than three times the size of Great Britain. Despite a healthy revenue of over £4 million, he claimed the British had reneged on a treaty commitment to compensate the Eleko.

Embarrassed at being publicly called duplicitous in this way, the British required the Eleko to disown Herbert Macaulay. He issued a public statement clarifying his position on Herbert Macaulay’s statement but declined to disown him through the Oba’s Bell Ringers, as the Brits required.

Unable to secure the support of the popular Eleko, the colonialists chose to head off the rising tension by deposing him. On 6 August 1925, they issued an ordinance de-stooling him and, two days later, on 8 August, they arrested and removed the Eleko into internal banishment in Oyo. In his place, they installed Oba Ibikunle Akitoye.

Oba Akitoye’s rule lasted an uncomfortably brief three years, largely because he lacked the support of the people of Lagos. Indeed, in 1926, he suffered a physical assault by his people. Supported by the elite and people of Lagos, the deposed Eleko took his case to the courts, all the way once more to the Privy Council, which decided on 19 June 1928 in favour of his claim for leave for a writ of habeas corpus. This, all but sealed the fate of Oba Akitoye, who was suspected to have facilitated his earthly demise shortly thereafter.

The crisis in Rivers State shares some unsettling similarities with the events in Lagos nearly one century ago. In Rivers today, as in Lagos then, a powerful man – in this case, the current Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) and immediate past governor of Rivers State Nyesom Wike – seeks to banish the current governor of Rivers State, Siminalayi Fubara, from office using surrogates beholden to him in the state House of Assembly.

However, there is one important difference – the issues in Rivers State today hardly involve principle or the public interest. Though framed in legalese, the cases are about power and money grabs. This is not a first. It appears to be the standard procedure of the former state governor and the current FCT Minister Mr Wike to seek to inveigle judges into acting as his political surrogates under a ruse of law.

In instigating this crisis, Mr Wike suffered a characteristic failure of his frontal lobe and either ignored or forgot his public vow to “give himself that respect” and not interfere in the affairs of the state after his exit from the office in May 2023. Rather, since leaving office as the state governor, Mr Wike has sought to install himself as both the Minister in Abuja and Sole Administrator in Port Harcourt, capital of Rivers state. He makes no effort to conceal the fact that much of what passes as his political dare-devilry appears to be accomplished under the influence of sufficiently gluttonous amounts of dangerous beverage, which entitles him access to defence, of automatism in criminal law.

In October 2024, the former governor told Seun Okinbaloye of Channels Television with undisguised hubris that the only solution to the crisis in Rivers State was for the incumbent governor to “obey court judgment.” This was no advocate for the rule of law, however. Instead, Mr Wike projected an air of political impregnability purchased with a currency bearing a distinct whiff of procured judicial crookery.

This is not entirely unexpected of an ambitious Nigerian politician without an alternative address (apologies to Deji Adeyanju). What is more difficult to overlook is the high judicial tolerance for the undisguised political importuning of judges.

Nigeria’s judicial system has been overtaken by a category known as “political cases.” In November 2023, former Chief Justice of Nigeria, Olukayode Ariwoola, reported that the Supreme Court under him registered 1,271 motions and appeals from 12 September 2022 to 11 July 2023, out of this, the court “heard 388 political appeals, 215 criminal appeals and 464 civil appeals.” Two years earlier, in 2021, Ariwoola’s predecessor, Justice Tanko Muhammad, reported that the court’s portfolio of 269 appeals disposed of, included 139 civil appeals, 102 criminal appeals, and 28 “political cases”.

According to CJN Ariwoola’s report, the court “delivered a total number of 251 judgments, of which 125 were political appeals, 81 were civil appeals, and 45 were criminal appeals.” In just two years the court’s output fell by 6.69% but “political cases” rose from 10.67% to 49.8%. Even allowing for the fact that 2023 was an election year, this is a system collapse.

Nigerian judges would appear to have decided that politicians are the only people entitled to exit from the courts. In turn, the politicians are happy to enjoy this exclusivity and to overwhelm the courts to the point that even judges now complain. They hire the priciest lawyers to frame undisguised power and money grabs as questions of law.

The Supreme Court can end this but feigns reluctance to. Rather, it affords powerful politicians the tolerance that they are unwilling to extend to lesser mortals, preferring instead to enable this joint enterprise of senior lawyers and politicians while fettering its capacity to determine what should be a question of law deserving of its rarefied attention.

This sucks for many reasons. It prostitutes the bench; casualises the constitutional guarantee of fair trial “within a reasonable time”; and portrays the judiciary as captured.

To describe this as Supreme pusillanimity is to be generous. It is a form of judicial lasciviousness syndrome, promenading judicial wares before political gawkers in a peonage system where the only effective currency is high political patronage. In the Rivers State cases, the Supreme Court still has an opportunity to make a bold statement. But if it fails, it should be ready for many more proxy war days.

A Lawyer And A Teacher, Odinkalu Can Be Reached At chidi.odinkalu@tufts.edu